lunes, junio 25, 2012

The Matrix

En Argentina, la matriz energética (el mix de fuentes primarias de energía) está sólidamente volcado hacia los hidrocarburos. Según datos de la Sec de Energía, en 2010 la oferta interna total de energía primaria fue de alrededor de 76 millones de tep. Un tep es la energía que se obtiene quemando una tonelada de petróleo. De esos 76 palitos tep 39 fueron gas natural y 26 petróleo. Las fuentes hidráulicas aportaron 3.5 palos tep y la nuclear 2.3.

Con toda la furia, la hidro puede aumentar su oferta otro 25% (Cóndor Cliff, los Chihuidos y el mas remoto Garabí mediante). No hay demasiadas fuentes hídricas adicionales. La nuclear podría teóricamente aumentarse tanto como se quisiera, de disponerse del financiamiento, la licencia social y la voluntad política. Pero la realidad es que difícilmente Argentina modifique su matriz energética en los próximos 20 años.

Nuestro destino, entonces, son los hidrocarburos. Pero en mi próximo post argumentare que toda energía es, básicamente, nuclear.

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